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2024-12-13 04:45:36

The interest rates of 10-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds all went down by about 5bp, while those of 24 interest-bearing treasury bonds went down by 4.9bp to 1.856%, and those of 24 CDB dropped by 5.25bp to 1.9175%.Afternoon comment: The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and consumer concept stocks broke out collectively. The index was active in early trading. The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and the Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 2%. In terms of sectors, robot concept stocks continued to break out, and the concept of PEEK materials led the rise. Both China Research Institute and Xinyi New Materials had a daily limit of 20cm, while Zhongxin Fluorescent Materials and Walter shares touched the daily limit; The large consumer sector collectively rose, with dairy stocks leading the gains, and Panda Dairy, Western Animal Husbandry and Li Ziyuan were trading daily; AI concept stocks fluctuated higher, and it is worth buying 20cm daily limit, Hanwang Technology, Xinhua Media and other daily limit; Insurance stocks strengthened, and Tianli Technology, Astar, Focus Technology and other daily limit. Overall, individual stocks showed a general upward trend, with more than 4,600 stocks rising. On the disk, all sectors in the two cities generally rose, with PEEK materials, film and television theaters and dairy sectors among the top gainers.AliExpress has held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and other places. AliExpress has prepared a number of measures such as traffic and freight reduction for new merchants, and held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong and other places in a month, attracting merchants from factories and industries to join. In addition, this year's "Black Five" is not over yet. Before double 11, the trend of "anti-involution" of e-commerce spread to cross-border circles, and AliExpress launched a series of policies to actively intercept and control the "refund only" and wool party that troubled businesses. (Interface News)


The scientific and technological innovation sector is ready to go! Kechuang 100TF (588190) rose by 2.99% at midday, and Stevie rose by 6.20%. By midday on December 10th, Kechuang 100TF (588190) rose by 2.99%, with a turnover of 457 million yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with Sitway rising by 6.20%, Guo Dun Quantum, Hengxuan Technology, Ruichuang Micro-Nano and Alice rising by over 3%, and Xinyuanwei and Anji Technology rising by over 2%. Guotai Junan said that the policy is set to be unconventional, the New Year's market is expected to continue, and the China stock market's transformation bull is taking shape, and its style and industry configuration are welcoming the "transformation bull" and its chess eyes are growing. Zhongtai Securities said that the meeting pointed out that "a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented". The statement that monetary policy is "moderately loose" is the first time in many years, which indicates that a more powerful monetary policy tool will be used next year, but it does not mean relaxing the goal of stabilizing exchange rate and currency value. The easing of monetary policy throughout the year is still closely related to Trump's tax cuts, inflation and debt. Next year is the closing year of the "14th Five-Year Plan", which is the real main line of the technology and direction related to industrial policy or the "year-end and early year" market.Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index closed at 8399.40 points, down 0.28%. 


Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the central bank's monetary policy committee is intentional. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the statement is intentional. The Committee noted that the data had weakened. Have more confidence in inflation. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with expectations. No need for two or more quarterly inflation data to change. Will pay attention to all data including employment.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Morgan Stanley published a research report, predicting that Chow Tai Fook's share price will outperform the market index in the same period in the next 30 days with a 70% to 80% chance, pointing out that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party revealed a strong stimulus policy tone yesterday, indicating that it is necessary to expand domestic demand, and called for supporting measures for housing and stock market stability, hoping for stable asset prices, which will have a positive impact on gold and jewelry consumption. The bank also pointed out that December of each year to February of the following year is usually the traditional peak season for jewelry sales, and Chow Tai Fook's share price has fallen by about 40% this year, which is inferior to the performance of MSCI China Index and Hang Seng Index in the same period. It is expected that the strength and implementation details of the central government's stimulus measures, the pace of inflation and the stability of gold prices in the future will affect whether the company's valuation can be revalued in the market and maintain its "in sync with the market" rating, with a target price of HK$ 8.3.

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